Offshoring of Jobs to Widen in 2005 --- Study Says Growth Helped By Less Political Opposition, More Pressure to Cut Costs
Jay Solomon
The Wall Street Journal Europe



More than 80% of the world's top 2,000 corporations will have established significant outsourcing operations overseas by the end of 2005, as political opposition to the trend diminishes and the pressure to cut costs grows, according to a report.

The study, conducted by neoIT, a Silicon Valley and Bangalore, India-based consulting group, also says small and midsize businesses are increasingly looking to outsource services to India and other developing countries and that Japanese and European companies also are investing heavily in the offshore model.

"In the client market, U.S. companies will no longer be the dominant buyers as Western European firms create strong demand for offshore services," the report says. "We see acceptance for offshoring as a foregone conclusion for multinational corporations."

NeoIT expects manufacturing, health care and retail to be the sectors that particularly will embrace outsourcing next year.

India experienced sharp growth in the outsourcing of software and services during the fiscal year ended March 31. Software exports grew about 25% from a year earlier to $12.5 billion (9.33 billion euros), and back-office work generated nearly an additional $4 billion in revenue.

NeoIT, however, expects this growth to only accelerate next year, with software exports from India posting growth of around 25% to 30% and revenue from back-office work growing an additional 60%. "Deals involving business process outsourcing [BPO] work tend to be larger" than deals involving pure software, said Atul Vashistha, chief executive of neoIT, in an interview.

Even as India continues to grow, however, neoIT sees China, Russia, and a number of Eastern European and Southeast Asian countries also becoming large players in the outsourcing industry. Chinese firms will "make headlines" in 2005 by acquiring outsourcing companies as a means to generate growth, according to the report. Central and Eastern European countries, meanwhile, "will become increasingly credible markets for European clients."

The growth of the outsourcing industry will force global software and back-office companies to increasingly seek scale as a means to effectively compete, the report says. As a result, the consultancy expects a string of mergers and acquisitions in the coming year, as well as a number of stock-market listings by BPO firms. This will involve both multinationals buying out Indian firms, as well as the reverse.

"Also, 2005 will see the first merger of a leading Indian supplier with a leading U.S. supplier," neoIT says.

The consulting group says that despite the boom in outsourcing, firms still will face considerable challenges in successfully executing an offshore model. More than 40% of the new offshore initiatives will fail to achieve the anticipated "savings, scale and risk diversification," neoIT says. "The key reason for these disappointments will not be due to supplier capability but buyer preparation and management," the report says.

 
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